Markets

Trade on the outcome of real-world events.

Sort 8 markets +8 today $620,457 24h vol

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record globally?

YES chance 50%

Yes 50¢ 3.1K OXC OXC

Will an Atlantic hurricane reach Category 5 in 2026?

YES chance 50%

Yes 50¢ 2.6K OXC OXC

Will Europe see a record-breaking summer heatwave in 2026?

YES chance 50%

Yes 50¢ 2.2K OXC OXC

Will a super typhoon make landfall in the Philippines in 2026?

YES chance 50%

Yes 50¢ 1.9K OXC OXC

Will California declare a statewide drought emergency in 2026?

YES chance 50%

Yes 50¢ 1.5K OXC OXC

Will Arctic sea ice hit a record September minimum in 2026?

YES chance 50%

Yes 50¢ 1.3K OXC OXC

Will India's 2026 monsoon deliver above-average rainfall?

YES chance 50%

Yes 50¢ 1.7K OXC OXC

Will a UK day exceed 40°C in 2026?

YES chance 50%

Yes 50¢ 1.6K OXC OXC