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Trade on the outcome of real-world events.

16 markets +16 today $620,457 24h vol
Politics

Will the US pass major immigration legislation in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2.6K OXC OXC
Politics

Will Mexico's president face a recall vote in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 1.7K OXC OXC
Politics

Will Italy's government change in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 1.6K OXC OXC
Politics

Will a new country adopt ranked-choice voting nationally in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 1.3K OXC OXC
Politics

Will a sitting EU head of government lose a confidence vote in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 1.8K OXC OXC
Politics

Will the US debt ceiling trigger a standoff in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2.4K OXC OXC
Politics

Will Japan change prime minister in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 1.9K OXC OXC
Politics

Will Brazil's president face impeachment proceedings in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 1.3K OXC OXC
Politics

Will the US federal government shut down in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 3.2K OXC OXC
Politics

Will a sitting G7 leader resign in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2K OXC OXC
Politics

Will Argentina dollarize its economy by 2027?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 1.7K OXC OXC
Politics

Will the UK hold a general election in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2.4K OXC OXC
Politics

Will a US president's approval rating top 50% in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2.8K OXC OXC
Politics

Will Germany's governing coalition collapse in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 1.6K OXC OXC
Politics

Will France hold snap legislative elections in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 1.8K OXC OXC
Politics

Will Canada call a federal election in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 1.4K OXC OXC