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Trade on the outcome of real-world events.

12 markets +12 today $483,954 24h vol

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Geopolitics

Will the UN Security Council expand its permanent members in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 1.4K OXC OXC
Geopolitics

Will Taiwan and China hold official talks in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2.3K OXC OXC
Geopolitics

Will a new nuclear arms-control treaty be signed in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2K OXC OXC
Geopolitics

Will Saudi Arabia and Israel normalize relations in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2.7K OXC OXC
Geopolitics

Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2.1K OXC OXC
Geopolitics

Will a G20 nation leave a major trade bloc in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 1.5K OXC OXC
Geopolitics

Will a major ceasefire be signed in an active conflict in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 3.2K OXC OXC
Geopolitics

Will NATO admit a new member state in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2.1K OXC OXC
Geopolitics

Will the US and China hold a leaders' summit in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2.8K OXC OXC
Geopolitics

Will OPEC+ cut oil production again in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2.4K OXC OXC
Geopolitics

Will a new member join BRICS in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 1.7K OXC OXC
Geopolitics

Will the EU impose a major new sanctions package in 2026?

YES chance 50%
Yes 50¢ 2K OXC OXC